Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.001883 0.001998 0.002118 0.002251 0.002396 0.002548 0.002720
2025-04-20 0.001656 0.001811 0.001979 0.002173 0.002393 0.002635 0.002922
2025-04-27 0.001554 0.001741 0.001949 0.002197 0.002489 0.002821 0.003233
2025-05-04 0.001493 0.001706 0.001948 0.002247 0.002607 0.003033 0.003579
2025-05-11 0.001454 0.001691 0.001966 0.002314 0.002746 0.003270 0.003966
2025-05-18 0.001399 0.001651 0.001949 0.002334 0.002823 0.003434 0.004267
2025-05-25 0.001321 0.001576 0.001885 0.002289 0.002814 0.003483 0.004420
2025-06-01 0.001261 0.001522 0.001841 0.002266 0.002829 0.003561 0.004611
2025-06-08 0.001225 0.001494 0.001829 0.002282 0.002893 0.003706 0.004900
2025-06-15 0.001177 0.001448 0.001790 0.002260 0.002903 0.003775 0.005086
2025-06-22 0.001135 0.001409 0.001758 0.002244 0.002920 0.003853 0.005285
2025-06-29 0.001094 0.001370 0.001724 0.002223 0.002929 0.003918 0.005468
2025-07-06 0.001045 0.001319 0.001676 0.002187 0.002919 0.003967 0.005645
2025-07-13 0.000982 0.001249 0.001600 0.002107 0.002845 0.003917 0.005668
2025-07-20 0.000961 0.001233 0.001596 0.002129 0.002919 0.004090 0.006057
2025-07-27 0.000949 0.001230 0.001610 0.002176 0.003031 0.004328 0.006570
2025-08-03 0.000944 0.001236 0.001635 0.002240 0.003172 0.004621 0.007199
2025-08-10 0.000925 0.001221 0.001630 0.002260 0.003244 0.004806 0.007661
2025-08-17 0.000888 0.001179 0.001586 0.002217 0.003216 0.004826 0.007826
2025-08-24 0.000860 0.001149 0.001556 0.002195 0.003220 0.004897 0.008090
2025-08-31 0.000844 0.001136 0.001551 0.002210 0.003284 0.005075 0.008569
2025-09-07 0.000819 0.001108 0.001523 0.002189 0.003286 0.005144 0.008844
2025-09-14 0.000797 0.001084 0.001500 0.002173 0.003297 0.005229 0.009157